Rainfall Analysis at District Level for Crop Planning in North Karnataka: A Case Study of Dharwad District

dc.contributor.authorShabnum, P. S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorVenkatesh, H.en_US
dc.contributor.authorSumesh, K. G.en_US
dc.contributor.authorAshalatha, K. V.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-24T07:23:38Z
dc.date.available2024-09-24T07:23:38Z
dc.date.issued2023-06
dc.description.abstractNorth Karnataka comprises thirteen districts that possess different rainfall patterns, soil types and cropping systems. The dynamic nature of climate necessitates assessment of climate variability and local level long range forecasts for adoption of suitable cropping systems in tropical regions. Long period data of rainfall from 1951 to 2017 (67 years) over the thirteen districts were subjected to serial correlation techniques to identify important lag years with significant serial correlation coefficient for annual rainfall, and for seasonal and monthly rainfall for Dharwad district as a pilot study. Significant serial correlation coefficient were identified in these series to develop auto-regression models. These models assessed through hindcast indicated that, except the adjacently located districts of Bagalkot, Kalaburgi and Yadgir, significant association existed between the other districts indicating the possibility of ahead of season forecast of rainfall for these districts. Significant association was also noticed between actual and hindcast values of seasonal and monthly rainfall in Dharwad district and therefore, have potential for selection of crops and cropping systems for the Dharwad district in advance. Thus, the results can be well adopted for crop planning well in advance at district level for better results and adoption. The seasonal and monthly forecast models as indicated for Dharwad district can be of immense help to advise the cropping systems/patterns for the ensuing the Kharif and the Rabi crops, particularly Sorghum variety CSH-1, M35-1 and wilt resistant Chickpeas variety BRG-5 were recommended for late sown conditions and low rainfall region in October for Dharwad district.en_US
dc.identifier.affiliationsUniversity of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad-580 005, Karnataka, Indiaen_US
dc.identifier.affiliationsUniversity of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad-580 005, Karnataka, Indiaen_US
dc.identifier.affiliationsUniversity of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad-580 005, Karnataka, Indiaen_US
dc.identifier.affiliationsUniversity of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad-580 005, Karnataka, Indiaen_US
dc.identifier.citationShabnum P. S., Venkatesh H., Sumesh K. G., Ashalatha K. V. . Rainfall Analysis at District Level for Crop Planning in North Karnataka: A Case Study of Dharwad District. International Journal of Environment and Climate Change. 2023 Jun; 13(6): 113-123en_US
dc.identifier.issn2581-8627
dc.identifier.placeIndiaen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://imsear.searo.who.int/handle/123456789/229008
dc.languageenen_US
dc.publisherMs. M. B. Mondalen_US
dc.relation.issuenumber6en_US
dc.relation.volume13en_US
dc.source.urihttps://doi.org/10.9734/ijecc/2023/v13i61805en_US
dc.subjectCorrelogramen_US
dc.subjectauto-regression modelsen_US
dc.subjectrainfall variabilityen_US
dc.subjectcrop planningen_US
dc.titleRainfall Analysis at District Level for Crop Planning in North Karnataka: A Case Study of Dharwad Districten_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
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